Londrina vs Operário PR Prediction & Preview
Serie B (Brazil) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE B (BRAZIL)
Londrina vs Operário PR
Model pick: Londrina (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.25 – 0.92
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Londrina | Operário PR |
|---|
| League position | #18 (21 pts) | #9 (36 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 27% | 36% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.8 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
*Londrina shown at home, Operário PR shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Londrina — last 5
LLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 39% of home games go over 2.5.
Operário PR — last 5
LLLLD
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 36% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Londrina (home) | Operário PR (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-4-4 in 11 (1.4 / 1.3 goals per game) | 4-2-5 in 11 (1.2 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 36% |
| Top scorer | Santos Bruno (10) | Boschilia (9) |
Serie B (Brazil) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.17
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 38%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Serie B (Brazil) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.25 vs 0.92):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Londrina or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Operário PR or draw (X2) | 56% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Londrina clean sheet | 40% |
| Operário PR clean sheet | 29% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Londrina is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Londrina are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Londrina vs Operário PR — FAQ
Who will win Londrina vs Operário PR?
Our statistical model makes Londrina the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Londrina 42%, draw 30%, Operário PR 28%.
Will both teams score in Londrina vs Operário PR?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Londrina vs Operário PR?
Expected goals are 1.25 for Londrina and 0.92 for Operário PR — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Londrina vs Operário PR?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Londrina or draw is 73%.