Los Andes vs Acassuso Prediction & Preview
Argentino B (Argentina) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO B (ARGENTINA)
Los Andes vs Acassuso
Model pick: Los Andes (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.01 – 0.84
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Los Andes | Acassuso |
|---|
| League position | #9 (33 pts) | #18 (22 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 31% | 8% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.2 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 1.4 |
*Los Andes shown at home, Acassuso shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Los Andes — last 5
DLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 53% of the time; 31% of home games go over 2.5.
Acassuso — last 5
DDLDL
On the road: clean sheet 37% of the time; 32% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Los Andes (home) | Acassuso (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-6-3 in 13 (0.8 / 0.5 goals per game) | 1-4-8 in 13 (0.6 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 53% | 37% |
| Both teams scored | 34% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 32% |
Argentino B (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.16
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 20%
Over 2.5: 38%
BTTS: 44%
Use these Argentino B (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.01 vs 0.84):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — Los Andes or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Acassuso or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Los Andes clean sheet | 43% |
| Acassuso clean sheet | 36% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Los Andes is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Los Andes are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Los Andes vs Acassuso — FAQ
Who will win Los Andes vs Acassuso?
Our statistical model makes Los Andes the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Los Andes 38%, draw 32%, Acassuso 30%.
Will both teams score in Los Andes vs Acassuso?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Los Andes vs Acassuso?
Expected goals are 1.01 for Los Andes and 0.84 for Acassuso — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Los Andes vs Acassuso?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (16%). Double chance for Los Andes or draw is 71%.