Los Andes vs Ferro Prediction & Preview
Argentino B (Argentina) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO B (ARGENTINA)
Los Andes vs Ferro
Model pick: Los Andes (50%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.27 – 0.58
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Los Andes | Ferro |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.0 / 1.75 |
*Los Andes shown at home, Ferro shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Los Andes — last 5
WLWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 54% of the time; 30% of home games go over 2.5.
Ferro — last 5
WWLL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Los Andes (home) | Ferro (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 54% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 50% |
Argentino B (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.11
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 20%
Over 2.5: 36%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Argentino B (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.27 vs 0.58):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (20%) |
| Double chance — Los Andes or draw (1X) | 83% |
| Double chance — Ferro or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Los Andes clean sheet | 56% |
| Ferro clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Los Andes is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Los Andes are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Los Andes vs Ferro — FAQ
Who will win Los Andes vs Ferro?
Our statistical model makes Los Andes the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Los Andes 50%, draw 30%, Ferro 19%.
Will both teams score in Los Andes vs Ferro?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Los Andes vs Ferro?
Expected goals are 1.27 for Los Andes and 0.58 for Ferro — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Los Andes vs Ferro?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (20%). Double chance for Los Andes or draw is 83%.