Los Chankas vs Juan Pablo II Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Peru) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (PERU)
Los Chankas vs Juan Pablo II
Model pick: Los Chankas (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.57 – 0.98
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Los Chankas | Juan Pablo II |
|---|
| League position | #2 (37 pts) | #16 (17 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.4 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
*Los Chankas shown at home, Juan Pablo II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Los Chankas — last 5
LWDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Juan Pablo II — last 5
WLDLW
On the road: clean sheet 10% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Los Chankas (home) | Juan Pablo II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 52% |
| Top scorer | Franco Torres (6) | Martin Alaniz (4) |
Primera Division (Peru) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.65
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Primera Division (Peru) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.57 vs 0.98):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Los Chankas or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Juan Pablo II or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Los Chankas clean sheet | 38% |
| Juan Pablo II clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Los Chankas is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Los Chankas are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Los Chankas vs Juan Pablo II — FAQ
Who will win Los Chankas vs Juan Pablo II?
Our statistical model makes Los Chankas the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Los Chankas 48%, draw 27%, Juan Pablo II 25%.
Will both teams score in Los Chankas vs Juan Pablo II?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Los Chankas vs Juan Pablo II?
Expected goals are 1.57 for Los Chankas and 0.98 for Juan Pablo II — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Los Chankas vs Juan Pablo II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Los Chankas or draw is 76%.