Loudoun vs Colorado Springs Prediction & Preview
USL 1 (USA) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 23:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
USL 1 (USA)
Loudoun vs Colorado Springs
Model pick: Draw (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.76 – 0.46
Total goals: 1.2
Over 2.5: 26%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Loudoun | Colorado Springs |
|---|
| League position | #10 (20 pts) | #9 (28 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 8% | 20% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 0.2 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
*Loudoun shown at home, Colorado Springs shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Loudoun — last 5
WWLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 20% of home games go over 2.5.
Colorado Springs — last 5
WWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Loudoun (home) | Colorado Springs (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-8-3 in 12 (1.2 / 1.5 goals per game) | 2-2-6 in 10 (1.1 / 1.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 50% |
USL 1 (USA) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.56
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 49%
Use these USL 1 (USA) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.76 vs 0.46):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (30%) |
| Double chance — Loudoun or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Colorado Springs or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 59% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Loudoun clean sheet | 63% |
| Colorado Springs clean sheet | 47% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (74% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Loudoun vs Colorado Springs — FAQ
Who will win Loudoun vs Colorado Springs?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Loudoun 38%, draw 40%, Colorado Springs 22%.
Will both teams score in Loudoun vs Colorado Springs?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Loudoun vs Colorado Springs?
Expected goals are 0.76 for Loudoun and 0.46 for Colorado Springs — about 1.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Loudoun vs Colorado Springs?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (30%). Double chance for Loudoun or draw is 80%.