Lubaczow vs Hetman Zamosc Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Lubaczow vs Hetman Zamosc
Model pick: Hetman Zamosc (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.34 – 1.0
Total goals: 1.3
Over 2.5: 28%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lubaczow | Hetman Zamosc |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
*Lubaczow shown at home, Hetman Zamosc shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lubaczow — last 5
LLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Hetman Zamosc — last 5
DDWDL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lubaczow (home) | Hetman Zamosc (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 63%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.34 vs 1.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (26%) |
| Double chance — Lubaczow or draw (1X) | 48% |
| Double chance — Hetman Zamosc or draw (X2) | 88% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 64% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Lubaczow clean sheet | 37% |
| Hetman Zamosc clean sheet | 71% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hetman Zamosc is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Despite playing away, Hetman Zamosc edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (72% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Lubaczow vs Hetman Zamosc — FAQ
Who will win Lubaczow vs Hetman Zamosc?
Our statistical model makes Hetman Zamosc the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Lubaczow 14%, draw 36%, Hetman Zamosc 49%.
Will both teams score in Lubaczow vs Hetman Zamosc?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Lubaczow vs Hetman Zamosc?
Expected goals are 0.34 for Lubaczow and 1.0 for Hetman Zamosc — about 1.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lubaczow vs Hetman Zamosc?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (26%). Double chance for Lubaczow or draw is 48%.