Lubeck II vs Nordmark Satrup Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 11:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Lubeck II vs Nordmark Satrup
Model pick: Draw (95%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.0 – 0.02
Total goals: 0.0
Over 2.5: 0%
Both teams score: 1%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lubeck II | Nordmark Satrup |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 3.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*Lubeck II shown at home, Nordmark Satrup shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lubeck II — last 5
LLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Nordmark Satrup — last 5
LD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lubeck II (home) | Nordmark Satrup (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.32
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 59%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.0 vs 0.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (98%) |
| Double chance — Lubeck II or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Nordmark Satrup or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 2% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Lubeck II clean sheet | 98% |
| Nordmark Satrup clean sheet | 100% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
95%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (100% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Lubeck II vs Nordmark Satrup — FAQ
Who will win Lubeck II vs Nordmark Satrup?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 95%. Full probabilities: Lubeck II 1%, draw 95%, Nordmark Satrup 4%.
Will both teams score in Lubeck II vs Nordmark Satrup?
The model gives a 1% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Lubeck II vs Nordmark Satrup?
Expected goals are 0.0 for Lubeck II and 0.02 for Nordmark Satrup — about 0.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lubeck II vs Nordmark Satrup?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (98%). Double chance for Lubeck II or draw is 98%.