Lubovna vs Spisska Nova Ves Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Slovakia) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (SLOVAKIA)
Lubovna vs Spisska Nova Ves
Model pick: Spisska Nova Ves (58%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.8 – 1.85
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lubovna | Spisska Nova Ves |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
*Lubovna shown at home, Spisska Nova Ves shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lubovna — last 5
DWLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Spisska Nova Ves — last 5
LWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lubovna (home) | Spisska Nova Ves (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 0% |
3 Liga (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.58
Home wins: 53%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 59%
Use these 3 Liga (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.8 vs 1.85):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Lubovna or draw (1X) | 38% |
| Double chance — Spisska Nova Ves or draw (X2) | 84% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Lubovna clean sheet | 16% |
| Spisska Nova Ves clean sheet | 45% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Spisska Nova Ves is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Despite playing away, Spisska Nova Ves edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Lubovna vs Spisska Nova Ves — FAQ
Who will win Lubovna vs Spisska Nova Ves?
Our statistical model makes Spisska Nova Ves the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Lubovna 18%, draw 24%, Spisska Nova Ves 58%.
Will both teams score in Lubovna vs Spisska Nova Ves?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Lubovna vs Spisska Nova Ves?
Expected goals are 0.8 for Lubovna and 1.85 for Spisska Nova Ves — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lubovna vs Spisska Nova Ves?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Double chance for Lubovna or draw is 38%.