Lund vs Olympic Prediction & Preview
Division 1 (Sweden) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 1 (SWEDEN)
Lund vs Olympic
Model pick: Lund (70%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.64 – 1.57
Total goals: 5.2
Over 2.5: 77%
Both teams score: 66%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lund | Olympic |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.2 | 2.0 / 2.0 |
*Lund shown at home, Olympic shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lund — last 5
LDDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Olympic — last 5
WWLDL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lund (home) | Olympic (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
Division 1 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Division 1 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.64 vs 1.57):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Lund or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance — Olympic or draw (X2) | 25% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Lund clean sheet | 21% |
| Olympic clean sheet | 3% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lund is the model's most likely outcome at
70%. Lund are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.2, this shapes as an open game (77% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Lund vs Olympic — FAQ
Who will win Lund vs Olympic?
Our statistical model makes Lund the most likely result at 70%. Full probabilities: Lund 70%, draw 15%, Olympic 15%.
Will both teams score in Lund vs Olympic?
The model gives a 66% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Lund vs Olympic?
Expected goals are 3.64 for Lund and 1.57 for Olympic — about 5.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lund vs Olympic?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-1 (7%). Double chance for Lund or draw is 88%.