Luzino vs Chemik Bydgoszcz Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Luzino vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
Model pick: Chemik Bydgoszcz (99%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.11 – 6.34
Total goals: 6.5
Over 2.5: 78%
Both teams score: 28%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Luzino | Chemik Bydgoszcz |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.4 | 3.0 / 1.0 |
*Luzino shown at home, Chemik Bydgoszcz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Luzino — last 5
LWLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Chemik Bydgoszcz — last 5
WWWDD
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Luzino (home) | Chemik Bydgoszcz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 33% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.11 vs 6.34):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-6 (18%) |
| Double chance — Luzino or draw (1X) | 0% |
| Double chance — Chemik Bydgoszcz or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Luzino clean sheet | 0% |
| Chemik Bydgoszcz clean sheet | 90% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chemik Bydgoszcz is the model's most likely outcome at
99%. Despite playing away, Chemik Bydgoszcz edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 6.5, this shapes as an open game (78% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Luzino vs Chemik Bydgoszcz — FAQ
Who will win Luzino vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
Our statistical model makes Chemik Bydgoszcz the most likely result at 99%. Full probabilities: Luzino 0%, draw 1%, Chemik Bydgoszcz 99%.
Will both teams score in Luzino vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
The model gives a 28% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Luzino vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
Expected goals are 0.11 for Luzino and 6.34 for Chemik Bydgoszcz — about 6.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Luzino vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-6 (18%). Double chance for Luzino or draw is 0%.