Lyn vs Egersund Prediction & Preview
Adeccoligaen (Norway) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ADECCOLIGAEN (NORWAY)
Lyn vs Egersund
Model pick: Lyn (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.95 – 1.32
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 65%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lyn | Egersund |
|---|
| League position | #9 (24 pts) | #8 (27 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.8 / 2.5 | 1.7 / 2.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 40% | 22% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.6 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 2.2 |
*Lyn shown at home, Egersund shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lyn — last 5
LWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 17% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Egersund — last 5
WLWLD
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 71% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lyn (home) | Egersund (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-0-6 in 10 (1.8 / 2.5 goals per game) | 2-1-6 in 9 (1.7 / 2.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 17% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 73% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 71% |
Adeccoligaen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.11
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Adeccoligaen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.95 vs 1.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Lyn or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Egersund or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| Lyn clean sheet | 27% |
| Egersund clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lyn is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Lyn are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Lyn vs Egersund — FAQ
Who will win Lyn vs Egersund?
Our statistical model makes Lyn the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Lyn 46%, draw 24%, Egersund 30%.
Will both teams score in Lyn vs Egersund?
The model gives a 65% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Lyn vs Egersund?
Expected goals are 1.95 for Lyn and 1.32 for Egersund — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lyn vs Egersund?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Lyn or draw is 74%.