Lyngby vs AGF Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
Lyngby vs AGF
Model pick: AGF (51%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.82 – 1.61
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lyngby | AGF |
|---|
| League position | #8 (0 pts) | #4 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
*Lyngby shown at home, AGF shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lyngby — last 5
WWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
AGF — last 5
WLWLD
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lyngby (home) | AGF (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 47% |
| Top scorer | – | Tobias Bech (12) |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.82 vs 1.61):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Lyngby or draw (1X) | 44% |
| Double chance — AGF or draw (X2) | 81% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Lyngby clean sheet | 20% |
| AGF clean sheet | 44% |
🎯 Our Verdict
AGF is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Despite playing away, AGF edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Lyngby vs AGF — FAQ
Who will win Lyngby vs AGF?
Our statistical model makes AGF the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Lyngby 24%, draw 26%, AGF 51%.
Will both teams score in Lyngby vs AGF?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Lyngby vs AGF?
Expected goals are 0.82 for Lyngby and 1.61 for AGF — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lyngby vs AGF?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for Lyngby or draw is 44%.