Lyngby vs Midtjylland Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
Lyngby vs Midtjylland
Model pick: Midtjylland (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.9 – 1.98
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lyngby | Midtjylland |
|---|
| League position | #11 (1 pts) | #3 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 2.0 | 3.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*Lyngby shown at home, Midtjylland shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lyngby — last 5
WWLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Midtjylland — last 5
LWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 34% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lyngby (home) | Midtjylland (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (2.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 34% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 55% |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.9 vs 1.98):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Lyngby or draw (1X) | 37% |
| Double chance — Midtjylland or draw (X2) | 84% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Lyngby clean sheet | 14% |
| Midtjylland clean sheet | 41% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Midtjylland is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Despite playing away, Midtjylland edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Lyngby vs Midtjylland — FAQ
Who will win Lyngby vs Midtjylland?
Our statistical model makes Midtjylland the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Lyngby 22%, draw 24%, Midtjylland 54%.
Will both teams score in Lyngby vs Midtjylland?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Lyngby vs Midtjylland?
Expected goals are 0.9 for Lyngby and 1.98 for Midtjylland — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lyngby vs Midtjylland?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (11%). Double chance for Lyngby or draw is 37%.