Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa Prediction & Preview
Ligat Al (Israel) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGAT AL (ISRAEL)
Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa
Model pick: Maccabi Netanya (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.56 – 1.38
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Maccabi Netanya | Hapoel Haifa |
|---|
| League position | #2 (4 pts) | #9 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 0.0 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.0 | 2.6 / 1.4 |
*Maccabi Netanya shown at home, Hapoel Haifa shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Maccabi Netanya — last 5
LWLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Hapoel Haifa — last 5
WWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 31% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Maccabi Netanya (home) | Hapoel Haifa (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 43% |
Ligat Al (Israel) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.54
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Ligat Al (Israel) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.56 vs 1.38):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Maccabi Netanya or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Hapoel Haifa or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Maccabi Netanya clean sheet | 25% |
| Hapoel Haifa clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Maccabi Netanya is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Maccabi Netanya are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa — FAQ
Who will win Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa?
Our statistical model makes Maccabi Netanya the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Maccabi Netanya 40%, draw 26%, Hapoel Haifa 34%.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa?
Expected goals are 1.56 for Maccabi Netanya and 1.38 for Hapoel Haifa — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Maccabi Netanya or draw is 66%.