Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona Prediction & Preview
Ligat Al (Israel) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGAT AL (ISRAEL)
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Model pick: Ironi Kiryat Shmona (38%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.27 – 1.35
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ironi Kiryat Shmona |
|---|
| League position | #5 (0 pts) | #8 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.0 | 1.6 / 0.2 |
*Maccabi Petah Tikva shown at home, Ironi Kiryat Shmona shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Maccabi Petah Tikva — last 5
LLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 42% of home games go over 2.5.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona — last 5
DWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Maccabi Petah Tikva (home) | Ironi Kiryat Shmona (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 44% |
Ligat Al (Israel) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.54
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Ligat Al (Israel) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.27 vs 1.35):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Maccabi Petah Tikva or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — Ironi Kiryat Shmona or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva clean sheet | 26% |
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ironi Kiryat Shmona is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Ironi Kiryat Shmona edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona — FAQ
Who will win Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona?
Our statistical model makes Ironi Kiryat Shmona the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Maccabi Petah Tikva 35%, draw 27%, Ironi Kiryat Shmona 38%.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona?
Expected goals are 1.27 for Maccabi Petah Tikva and 1.35 for Ironi Kiryat Shmona — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Maccabi Petah Tikva or draw is 61%.