Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa Prediction & Preview
Ligat Al (Israel) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGAT AL (ISRAEL)
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa
Model pick: Maccabi Tel Aviv (47%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.88 – 1.39
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Maccabi Haifa |
|---|
| League position | #36 (1 pts) | #2 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.2 / 3.8 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
*Maccabi Tel Aviv shown at home, Maccabi Haifa shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Maccabi Tel Aviv — last 5
LWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Maccabi Haifa — last 5
LWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 36% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Maccabi Tel Aviv (home) | Maccabi Haifa (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-4 in 4 (0.2 / 3.8 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 51% |
Ligat Al (Israel) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.54
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Ligat Al (Israel) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.88 vs 1.39):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Maccabi Haifa or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv clean sheet | 25% |
| Maccabi Haifa clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Maccabi Tel Aviv is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Maccabi Tel Aviv are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa — FAQ
Who will win Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa?
Our statistical model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Maccabi Tel Aviv 47%, draw 24%, Maccabi Haifa 29%.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa?
Expected goals are 1.88 for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 1.39 for Maccabi Haifa — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw is 71%.