Madla IL vs Vindbjart Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Madla IL vs Vindbjart
Model pick: Vindbjart (94%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.16 – 3.87
Total goals: 4.0
Over 2.5: 67%
Both teams score: 32%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Madla IL | Vindbjart |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 4.0 / 1.5 | 7.0 / 0.0 |
*Madla IL shown at home, Vindbjart shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Madla IL — last 5
WW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Vindbjart — last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Madla IL (home) | Vindbjart (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.78
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 13%
Away wins: 42%
Over 2.5: 81%
BTTS: 74%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.16 vs 3.87):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-3 (17%) |
| Double chance — Madla IL or draw (1X) | 4% |
| Double chance — Vindbjart or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 56% / 44% |
| Madla IL clean sheet | 2% |
| Vindbjart clean sheet | 85% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vindbjart is the model's most likely outcome at
94%. Despite playing away, Vindbjart edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.0, this shapes as an open game (67% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Madla IL vs Vindbjart — FAQ
Who will win Madla IL vs Vindbjart?
Our statistical model makes Vindbjart the most likely result at 94%. Full probabilities: Madla IL 1%, draw 5%, Vindbjart 94%.
Will both teams score in Madla IL vs Vindbjart?
The model gives a 32% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Madla IL vs Vindbjart?
Expected goals are 0.16 for Madla IL and 3.87 for Vindbjart — about 4.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Madla IL vs Vindbjart?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-3 (17%). Double chance for Madla IL or draw is 4%.