Magdeburg II vs Babelsberg Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 11, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Magdeburg II vs Babelsberg
Model pick: Babelsberg (63%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.41 – 1.62
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Magdeburg II | Babelsberg |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.2 | 2.0 / 1.6 |
*Magdeburg II shown at home, Babelsberg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Magdeburg II — last 5
WDWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 25% of home games go over 2.5.
Babelsberg — last 5
LWWLD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Magdeburg II (home) | Babelsberg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 75% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.41 vs 1.62):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (21%) |
| Double chance — Magdeburg II or draw (1X) | 32% |
| Double chance — Babelsberg or draw (X2) | 91% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Magdeburg II clean sheet | 20% |
| Babelsberg clean sheet | 66% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Babelsberg is the model's most likely outcome at
63%. Despite playing away, Babelsberg edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Magdeburg II vs Babelsberg — FAQ
Who will win Magdeburg II vs Babelsberg?
Our statistical model makes Babelsberg the most likely result at 63%. Full probabilities: Magdeburg II 11%, draw 26%, Babelsberg 63%.
Will both teams score in Magdeburg II vs Babelsberg?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Magdeburg II vs Babelsberg?
Expected goals are 0.41 for Magdeburg II and 1.62 for Babelsberg — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Magdeburg II vs Babelsberg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (21%). Double chance for Magdeburg II or draw is 32%.