Magdeburg II vs Chemie Leipzig Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 25, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Magdeburg II vs Chemie Leipzig
Model pick: Magdeburg II (72%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.8 – 0.24
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Magdeburg II | Chemie Leipzig |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 2.0 | 0.2 / 1.4 |
*Magdeburg II shown at home, Chemie Leipzig shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Magdeburg II — last 5
WDLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 20% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Chemie Leipzig — last 5
LLLDL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 20% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Magdeburg II (home) | Chemie Leipzig (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 20% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.31
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 65%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.8 vs 0.24):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (23%) |
| Double chance — Magdeburg II or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Chemie Leipzig or draw (X2) | 24% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Magdeburg II clean sheet | 79% |
| Chemie Leipzig clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Magdeburg II is the model's most likely outcome at
72%. Magdeburg II are backed at home, where they average 2.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Magdeburg II vs Chemie Leipzig — FAQ
Who will win Magdeburg II vs Chemie Leipzig?
Our statistical model makes Magdeburg II the most likely result at 72%. Full probabilities: Magdeburg II 72%, draw 22%, Chemie Leipzig 6%.
Will both teams score in Magdeburg II vs Chemie Leipzig?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Magdeburg II vs Chemie Leipzig?
Expected goals are 1.8 for Magdeburg II and 0.24 for Chemie Leipzig — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Magdeburg II vs Chemie Leipzig?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (23%). Double chance for Magdeburg II or draw is 96%.