Mahlsdorf vs Rathenow Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Mahlsdorf vs Rathenow
Model pick: Draw (68%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.05 – 0.29
Total goals: 0.3
Over 2.5: 5%
Both teams score: 12%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Mahlsdorf | Rathenow |
|---|
| League position | #16 (0 pts) | #12 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.33 / 2.0 | 0.4 / 2.0 |
*Mahlsdorf shown at home, Rathenow shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Mahlsdorf — last 5
LDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Rathenow — last 5
DLLLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Mahlsdorf (home) | Rathenow (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.05 vs 0.29):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (71%) |
| Double chance — Mahlsdorf or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Rathenow or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 28% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Mahlsdorf clean sheet | 75% |
| Rathenow clean sheet | 95% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
68%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (95% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Mahlsdorf vs Rathenow — FAQ
Who will win Mahlsdorf vs Rathenow?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 68%. Full probabilities: Mahlsdorf 5%, draw 68%, Rathenow 27%.
Will both teams score in Mahlsdorf vs Rathenow?
The model gives a 12% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Mahlsdorf vs Rathenow?
Expected goals are 0.05 for Mahlsdorf and 0.29 for Rathenow — about 0.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Mahlsdorf vs Rathenow?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (71%). Double chance for Mahlsdorf or draw is 76%.