Maidstone United vs Farnborough Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Maidstone United vs Farnborough
Model pick: Maidstone United (58%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.09 – 1.0
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Maidstone United | Farnborough |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.8 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
*Maidstone United shown at home, Farnborough shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Maidstone United — last 5
WWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
Farnborough — last 5
WLLDW
On the road: clean sheet 15% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Maidstone United (home) | Farnborough (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 60% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.09 vs 1.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — Maidstone United or draw (1X) | 83% |
| Double chance — Farnborough or draw (X2) | 38% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Maidstone United clean sheet | 37% |
| Farnborough clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Maidstone United is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Maidstone United are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Maidstone United vs Farnborough — FAQ
Who will win Maidstone United vs Farnborough?
Our statistical model makes Maidstone United the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Maidstone United 58%, draw 22%, Farnborough 19%.
Will both teams score in Maidstone United vs Farnborough?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Maidstone United vs Farnborough?
Expected goals are 2.09 for Maidstone United and 1.0 for Farnborough — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Maidstone United vs Farnborough?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (10%). Double chance for Maidstone United or draw is 83%.