Mainz II vs FSV Frankfurt Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Mainz II vs FSV Frankfurt
Model pick: FSV Frankfurt (47%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.44 – 1.95
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Mainz II | FSV Frankfurt |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 0.6 | 3.0 / 1.0 |
*Mainz II shown at home, FSV Frankfurt shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Mainz II — last 5
WWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
FSV Frankfurt — last 5
WWWLD
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Mainz II (home) | FSV Frankfurt (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.44 vs 1.95):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Mainz II or draw (1X) | 50% |
| Double chance — FSV Frankfurt or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 44% / 56% |
| Mainz II clean sheet | 14% |
| FSV Frankfurt clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FSV Frankfurt is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Despite playing away, FSV Frankfurt edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Mainz II vs FSV Frankfurt — FAQ
Who will win Mainz II vs FSV Frankfurt?
Our statistical model makes FSV Frankfurt the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Mainz II 29%, draw 24%, FSV Frankfurt 47%.
Will both teams score in Mainz II vs FSV Frankfurt?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Mainz II vs FSV Frankfurt?
Expected goals are 1.44 for Mainz II and 1.95 for FSV Frankfurt — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Mainz II vs FSV Frankfurt?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (9%). Double chance for Mainz II or draw is 50%.