Majosi vs Sarbogard Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Majosi vs Sarbogard
Model pick: Sarbogard (95%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.64 – 5.59
Total goals: 6.2
Over 2.5: 80%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Majosi | Sarbogard |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 2.5 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
*Majosi shown at home, Sarbogard shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Majosi — last 5
DL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Sarbogard — last 5
LL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Majosi (home) | Sarbogard (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.64 vs 5.59):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-5 (10%) |
| Double chance — Majosi or draw (1X) | 3% |
| Double chance — Sarbogard or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 98% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Majosi clean sheet | 0% |
| Sarbogard clean sheet | 53% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sarbogard is the model's most likely outcome at
95%. Despite playing away, Sarbogard edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 6.2, this shapes as an open game (80% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Majosi vs Sarbogard — FAQ
Who will win Majosi vs Sarbogard?
Our statistical model makes Sarbogard the most likely result at 95%. Full probabilities: Majosi 1%, draw 3%, Sarbogard 95%.
Will both teams score in Majosi vs Sarbogard?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Majosi vs Sarbogard?
Expected goals are 0.64 for Majosi and 5.59 for Sarbogard — about 6.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Majosi vs Sarbogard?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-5 (10%). Double chance for Majosi or draw is 3%.