Makkabi Berlin vs TB Berlin Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Makkabi Berlin vs TB Berlin
Model pick: TB Berlin (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.47 – 1.91
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Makkabi Berlin | TB Berlin |
|---|
| League position | #14 (0 pts) | #5 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 2.67 |
*Makkabi Berlin shown at home, TB Berlin shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Makkabi Berlin — last 5
L
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
TB Berlin — last 5
LLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Makkabi Berlin (home) | TB Berlin (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.47 vs 1.91):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Makkabi Berlin or draw (1X) | 52% |
| Double chance — TB Berlin or draw (X2) | 70% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 44% / 56% |
| Makkabi Berlin clean sheet | 15% |
| TB Berlin clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
TB Berlin is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, TB Berlin edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Makkabi Berlin vs TB Berlin — FAQ
Who will win Makkabi Berlin vs TB Berlin?
Our statistical model makes TB Berlin the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Makkabi Berlin 31%, draw 24%, TB Berlin 46%.
Will both teams score in Makkabi Berlin vs TB Berlin?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Makkabi Berlin vs TB Berlin?
Expected goals are 1.47 for Makkabi Berlin and 1.91 for TB Berlin — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Makkabi Berlin vs TB Berlin?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Makkabi Berlin or draw is 52%.