Maldon and Tiptree vs Cray Wanderers Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Maldon and Tiptree vs Cray Wanderers
Model pick: Maldon and Tiptree (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.05
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Maldon and Tiptree | Cray Wanderers |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 2.25 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*Maldon and Tiptree shown at home, Cray Wanderers shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Maldon and Tiptree — last 5
LWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Cray Wanderers — last 5
DLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Maldon and Tiptree (home) | Cray Wanderers (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.88
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.34 vs 1.05):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Maldon and Tiptree or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Cray Wanderers or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Maldon and Tiptree clean sheet | 35% |
| Cray Wanderers clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Maldon and Tiptree is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Maldon and Tiptree are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Maldon and Tiptree vs Cray Wanderers — FAQ
Who will win Maldon and Tiptree vs Cray Wanderers?
Our statistical model makes Maldon and Tiptree the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Maldon and Tiptree 42%, draw 28%, Cray Wanderers 30%.
Will both teams score in Maldon and Tiptree vs Cray Wanderers?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Maldon and Tiptree vs Cray Wanderers?
Expected goals are 1.34 for Maldon and Tiptree and 1.05 for Cray Wanderers — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Maldon and Tiptree vs Cray Wanderers?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Maldon and Tiptree or draw is 71%.