Malvern Town vs Wimborne Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Malvern Town vs Wimborne
Model pick: Malvern Town (70%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.9 – 0.34
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Malvern Town | Wimborne |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.0 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
*Malvern Town shown at home, Wimborne shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Malvern Town — last 5
LWDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Wimborne — last 5
LDLLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Malvern Town (home) | Wimborne (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.9 vs 0.34):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (20%) |
| Double chance — Malvern Town or draw (1X) | 94% |
| Double chance — Wimborne or draw (X2) | 24% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Malvern Town clean sheet | 71% |
| Wimborne clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Malvern Town is the model's most likely outcome at
70%. Malvern Town are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Malvern Town vs Wimborne — FAQ
Who will win Malvern Town vs Wimborne?
Our statistical model makes Malvern Town the most likely result at 70%. Full probabilities: Malvern Town 70%, draw 22%, Wimborne 8%.
Will both teams score in Malvern Town vs Wimborne?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Malvern Town vs Wimborne?
Expected goals are 1.9 for Malvern Town and 0.34 for Wimborne — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Malvern Town vs Wimborne?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (20%). Double chance for Malvern Town or draw is 94%.