Manacor vs Binissalem Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
Manacor vs Binissalem
Model pick: Manacor (62%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.86 – 0.66
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Manacor | Binissalem |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
*Manacor shown at home, Binissalem shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Manacor — last 5
DDWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Binissalem — last 5
DDLDW
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Manacor (home) | Binissalem (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 43% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.86 vs 0.66):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Manacor or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — Binissalem or draw (X2) | 34% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Manacor clean sheet | 52% |
| Binissalem clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Manacor is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Manacor are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Manacor vs Binissalem — FAQ
Who will win Manacor vs Binissalem?
Our statistical model makes Manacor the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Manacor 62%, draw 24%, Binissalem 15%.
Will both teams score in Manacor vs Binissalem?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Manacor vs Binissalem?
Expected goals are 1.86 for Manacor and 0.66 for Binissalem — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Manacor vs Binissalem?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Manacor or draw is 87%.