Marítimo vs Academico Viseu Prediction & Preview
Portuguese Liga (Portugal) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PORTUGUESE LIGA (PORTUGAL)
Marítimo vs Academico Viseu
Model pick: Marítimo (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.36 – 1.2
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Marítimo | Academico Viseu |
|---|
| League position | #3 (6 pts) | #11 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.4 | 1.0 / 1.2 |
*Marítimo shown at home, Academico Viseu shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Marítimo — last 5
DDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
Academico Viseu — last 5
LDWDL
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Marítimo (home) | Academico Viseu (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (2.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 49% |
Portuguese Liga (Portugal) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.6
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Portuguese Liga (Portugal) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.36 vs 1.2):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Marítimo or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Academico Viseu or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Marítimo clean sheet | 30% |
| Academico Viseu clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Marítimo is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Marítimo are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Marítimo vs Academico Viseu — FAQ
Who will win Marítimo vs Academico Viseu?
Our statistical model makes Marítimo the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Marítimo 39%, draw 28%, Academico Viseu 33%.
Will both teams score in Marítimo vs Academico Viseu?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Marítimo vs Academico Viseu?
Expected goals are 1.36 for Marítimo and 1.2 for Academico Viseu — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Marítimo vs Academico Viseu?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Marítimo or draw is 67%.