Marchfeld vs Kremser Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Marchfeld vs Kremser
Model pick: Kremser (61%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.42 – 1.53
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 40%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Marchfeld | Kremser |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
*Marchfeld shown at home, Kremser shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Marchfeld — last 5
DLWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Kremser — last 5
LLDLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Marchfeld (home) | Kremser (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.8
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.42 vs 1.53):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (22%) |
| Double chance — Marchfeld or draw (1X) | 35% |
| Double chance — Kremser or draw (X2) | 90% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Marchfeld clean sheet | 22% |
| Kremser clean sheet | 66% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kremser is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. Despite playing away, Kremser edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (60% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Marchfeld vs Kremser — FAQ
Who will win Marchfeld vs Kremser?
Our statistical model makes Kremser the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: Marchfeld 12%, draw 27%, Kremser 61%.
Will both teams score in Marchfeld vs Kremser?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Marchfeld vs Kremser?
Expected goals are 0.42 for Marchfeld and 1.53 for Kremser — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Marchfeld vs Kremser?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (22%). Double chance for Marchfeld or draw is 35%.