Maribor vs Bravo Prediction & Preview
1-SNL (Slovenia) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-SNL (SLOVENIA)
Maribor vs Bravo
Model pick: Maribor (50%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.64 – 0.96
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Maribor | Bravo |
|---|
| League position | #1 (9 pts) | #3 (8 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.5 / 0.0 | 1.3 / 0.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 67% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
*Maribor shown at home, Bravo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Maribor — last 5
WDDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 41% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Bravo — last 5
WLLWD
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Maribor (home) | Bravo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-0 in 2 (2.5 / 0.0 goals per game) | 2-1-0 in 3 (1.3 / 0.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 41% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 43% |
1-SNL (Slovenia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.72
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 53%
Use these 1-SNL (Slovenia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.64 vs 0.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Maribor or draw (1X) | 78% |
| Double chance — Bravo or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Maribor clean sheet | 38% |
| Bravo clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Maribor is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Maribor are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Maribor vs Bravo — FAQ
Who will win Maribor vs Bravo?
Our statistical model makes Maribor the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Maribor 50%, draw 26%, Bravo 24%.
Will both teams score in Maribor vs Bravo?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Maribor vs Bravo?
Expected goals are 1.64 for Maribor and 0.96 for Bravo — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Maribor vs Bravo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Maribor or draw is 78%.