Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II
Model pick: Botev Plovdiv II (47%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.26 – 0.85
Total goals: 1.1
Over 2.5: 23%
Both teams score: 31%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Maritsa Milevo | Botev Plovdiv II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.75 | 2.0 / 2.5 |
*Maritsa Milevo shown at home, Botev Plovdiv II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Maritsa Milevo — last 5
WWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Botev Plovdiv II — last 5
WL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Maritsa Milevo (home) | Botev Plovdiv II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.08
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.26 vs 0.85):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (33%) |
| Double chance — Maritsa Milevo or draw (1X) | 52% |
| Double chance — Botev Plovdiv II or draw (X2) | 89% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 59% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Maritsa Milevo clean sheet | 43% |
| Botev Plovdiv II clean sheet | 77% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Botev Plovdiv II is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Despite playing away, Botev Plovdiv II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (77% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II — FAQ
Who will win Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II?
Our statistical model makes Botev Plovdiv II the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Maritsa Milevo 13%, draw 40%, Botev Plovdiv II 47%.
Will both teams score in Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II?
The model gives a 31% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II?
Expected goals are 0.26 for Maritsa Milevo and 0.85 for Botev Plovdiv II — about 1.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (33%). Double chance for Maritsa Milevo or draw is 52%.