Marsa vs PS Sakiet Eddaier Prediction & Preview
Ligue 1 (Tunisia) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGUE 1 (TUNISIA)
Marsa vs PS Sakiet Eddaier
Model pick: PS Sakiet Eddaier (65%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.12 – 1.31
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 30%
Both teams score: 26%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Marsa | PS Sakiet Eddaier |
|---|
| League position | #13 (0 pts) | #1 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.6 | 2.0 / 1.5 |
*Marsa shown at home, PS Sakiet Eddaier shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Marsa — last 5
WLDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 31% of home games go over 2.5.
PS Sakiet Eddaier — last 5
LW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Marsa (home) | PS Sakiet Eddaier (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 24% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 100% |
Ligue 1 (Tunisia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 1.98
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 36%
Use these Ligue 1 (Tunisia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.12 vs 1.31):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (31%) |
| Double chance — Marsa or draw (1X) | 31% |
| Double chance — PS Sakiet Eddaier or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| Marsa clean sheet | 27% |
| PS Sakiet Eddaier clean sheet | 89% |
🎯 Our Verdict
PS Sakiet Eddaier is the model's most likely outcome at
65%. Despite playing away, PS Sakiet Eddaier edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (70% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Marsa vs PS Sakiet Eddaier — FAQ
Who will win Marsa vs PS Sakiet Eddaier?
Our statistical model makes PS Sakiet Eddaier the most likely result at 65%. Full probabilities: Marsa 5%, draw 30%, PS Sakiet Eddaier 65%.
Will both teams score in Marsa vs PS Sakiet Eddaier?
The model gives a 26% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Marsa vs PS Sakiet Eddaier?
Expected goals are 0.12 for Marsa and 1.31 for PS Sakiet Eddaier — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Marsa vs PS Sakiet Eddaier?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (31%). Double chance for Marsa or draw is 31%.