Mateszalkai MTK vs Debreceni EAC Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Mateszalkai MTK vs Debreceni EAC
Model pick: Debreceni EAC (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.15 – 1.92
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Mateszalkai MTK | Debreceni EAC |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.6 | 3.4 / 1.0 |
*Mateszalkai MTK shown at home, Debreceni EAC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Mateszalkai MTK — last 5
WLWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Debreceni EAC — last 5
WWWWD
On the road: clean sheet 40% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Mateszalkai MTK (home) | Debreceni EAC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 40% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.51
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.15 vs 1.92):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Mateszalkai MTK or draw (1X) | 45% |
| Double chance — Debreceni EAC or draw (X2) | 77% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Mateszalkai MTK clean sheet | 15% |
| Debreceni EAC clean sheet | 32% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Debreceni EAC is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Despite playing away, Debreceni EAC edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Mateszalkai MTK vs Debreceni EAC — FAQ
Who will win Mateszalkai MTK vs Debreceni EAC?
Our statistical model makes Debreceni EAC the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Mateszalkai MTK 24%, draw 24%, Debreceni EAC 52%.
Will both teams score in Mateszalkai MTK vs Debreceni EAC?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Mateszalkai MTK vs Debreceni EAC?
Expected goals are 1.15 for Mateszalkai MTK and 1.92 for Debreceni EAC — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Mateszalkai MTK vs Debreceni EAC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Mateszalkai MTK or draw is 45%.