Mateszalkai MTK vs DVTK II Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Mateszalkai MTK vs DVTK II
Model pick: Mateszalkai MTK (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.82 – 0.39
Total goals: 1.2
Over 2.5: 26%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Mateszalkai MTK | DVTK II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.75 / 1.25 | 1.2 / 2.0 |
*Mateszalkai MTK shown at home, DVTK II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Mateszalkai MTK — last 5
DWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
DVTK II — last 5
LLDWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Mateszalkai MTK (home) | DVTK II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.82 vs 0.39):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (30%) |
| Double chance — Mateszalkai MTK or draw (1X) | 84% |
| Double chance — DVTK II or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 60% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Mateszalkai MTK clean sheet | 68% |
| DVTK II clean sheet | 44% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Mateszalkai MTK is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Mateszalkai MTK are backed at home, where they average 4.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (74% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Mateszalkai MTK vs DVTK II — FAQ
Who will win Mateszalkai MTK vs DVTK II?
Our statistical model makes Mateszalkai MTK the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Mateszalkai MTK 42%, draw 39%, DVTK II 18%.
Will both teams score in Mateszalkai MTK vs DVTK II?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Mateszalkai MTK vs DVTK II?
Expected goals are 0.82 for Mateszalkai MTK and 0.39 for DVTK II — about 1.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Mateszalkai MTK vs DVTK II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (30%). Double chance for Mateszalkai MTK or draw is 84%.