Mattersburg SV 2020 vs Warth Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Mattersburg SV 2020 vs Warth
Model pick: Warth (61%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.51 – 1.65
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Mattersburg SV 2020 | Warth |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 2.0 | 1.75 / 1.75 |
*Mattersburg SV 2020 shown at home, Warth shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Mattersburg SV 2020 — last 5
LLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Warth — last 5
LDWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Mattersburg SV 2020 (home) | Warth (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.51 vs 1.65):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (19%) |
| Double chance — Mattersburg SV 2020 or draw (1X) | 35% |
| Double chance — Warth or draw (X2) | 89% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Mattersburg SV 2020 clean sheet | 19% |
| Warth clean sheet | 60% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Warth is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. Despite playing away, Warth edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Mattersburg SV 2020 vs Warth — FAQ
Who will win Mattersburg SV 2020 vs Warth?
Our statistical model makes Warth the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: Mattersburg SV 2020 13%, draw 26%, Warth 61%.
Will both teams score in Mattersburg SV 2020 vs Warth?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Mattersburg SV 2020 vs Warth?
Expected goals are 0.51 for Mattersburg SV 2020 and 1.65 for Warth — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Mattersburg SV 2020 vs Warth?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (19%). Double chance for Mattersburg SV 2020 or draw is 35%.