Maykop vs Angust Nazran Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Maykop vs Angust Nazran
Model pick: Draw (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.54 – 0.49
Total goals: 1.0
Over 2.5: 21%
Both teams score: 34%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Maykop | Angust Nazran |
|---|
| League position | #9 (24 pts) | #13 (16 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.4 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 20% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.4 | 0.4 / 1.0 |
*Maykop shown at home, Angust Nazran shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Maykop — last 5
WDDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 80% of home games go over 2.5.
Angust Nazran — last 5
LDLDL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Maykop (home) | Angust Nazran (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-3-3 in 9 (1.4 / 1.4 goals per game) | 2-2-6 in 10 (0.5 / 1.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.03
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 59%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.54 vs 0.49):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (36%) |
| Double chance — Maykop or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Angust Nazran or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 54% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Maykop clean sheet | 61% |
| Angust Nazran clean sheet | 58% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (79% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Maykop vs Angust Nazran — FAQ
Who will win Maykop vs Angust Nazran?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Maykop 29%, draw 44%, Angust Nazran 27%.
Will both teams score in Maykop vs Angust Nazran?
The model gives a 34% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Maykop vs Angust Nazran?
Expected goals are 0.54 for Maykop and 0.49 for Angust Nazran — about 1.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Maykop vs Angust Nazran?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (36%). Double chance for Maykop or draw is 75%.