Maykop vs Kyzyltash Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Maykop vs Kyzyltash
Model pick: Kyzyltash (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.79 – 1.99
Total goals: 3.8
Over 2.5: 64%
Both teams score: 63%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Maykop | Kyzyltash |
|---|
| League position | #9 (23 pts) | #8 (27 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 38% | 44% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
*Maykop shown at home, Kyzyltash shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Maykop — last 5
DLLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Kyzyltash — last 5
LDLWL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Maykop (home) | Kyzyltash (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-2-3 in 8 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) | 4-3-2 in 9 (1.4 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.1
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 62%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.79 vs 1.99):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Maykop or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Kyzyltash or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 89% / 11% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 52% / 48% |
| Maykop clean sheet | 14% |
| Kyzyltash clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kyzyltash is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Kyzyltash edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.8, this shapes as an open game (64% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Maykop vs Kyzyltash — FAQ
Who will win Maykop vs Kyzyltash?
Our statistical model makes Kyzyltash the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Maykop 35%, draw 23%, Kyzyltash 42%.
Will both teams score in Maykop vs Kyzyltash?
The model gives a 63% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Maykop vs Kyzyltash?
Expected goals are 1.79 for Maykop and 1.99 for Kyzyltash — about 3.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Maykop vs Kyzyltash?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (8%). Double chance for Maykop or draw is 57%.