Medzev vs Lok. Kosice Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Slovakia) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (SLOVAKIA)
Medzev vs Lok. Kosice
Model pick: Lok. Kosice (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.55 – 2.48
Total goals: 4.0
Over 2.5: 67%
Both teams score: 63%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Medzev | Lok. Kosice |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 0.6 |
*Medzev shown at home, Lok. Kosice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Medzev — last 5
LWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Lok. Kosice — last 5
DWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 40% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Medzev (home) | Lok. Kosice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 60% |
3 Liga (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.48
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 3 Liga (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.55 vs 2.48):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (8%) |
| Double chance — Medzev or draw (1X) | 42% |
| Double chance — Lok. Kosice or draw (X2) | 77% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Medzev clean sheet | 8% |
| Lok. Kosice clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lok. Kosice is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Despite playing away, Lok. Kosice edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.0, this shapes as an open game (67% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Medzev vs Lok. Kosice — FAQ
Who will win Medzev vs Lok. Kosice?
Our statistical model makes Lok. Kosice the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Medzev 25%, draw 21%, Lok. Kosice 54%.
Will both teams score in Medzev vs Lok. Kosice?
The model gives a 63% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Medzev vs Lok. Kosice?
Expected goals are 1.55 for Medzev and 2.48 for Lok. Kosice — about 4.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Medzev vs Lok. Kosice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (8%). Double chance for Medzev or draw is 42%.