Medzev vs Zemplín Michalovce Prediction & Preview
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) · Sep 02, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SLOVAK CUP (SLOVAKIA)
Medzev vs Zemplín Michalovce
Model pick: Zemplín Michalovce (99%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.07 – 6.37
Total goals: 6.4
Over 2.5: 78%
Both teams score: 24%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Medzev | Zemplín Michalovce |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #8 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 0.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
*Medzev shown at home, Zemplín Michalovce shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Medzev — last 5
LLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Zemplín Michalovce — last 5
LDLWW
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Medzev (home) | Zemplín Michalovce (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 54% |
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.1
Home wins: 13%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 87%
Over 2.5: 77%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Slovak Cup (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.07 vs 6.37):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-6 (18%) |
| Double chance — Medzev or draw (1X) | 0% |
| Double chance — Zemplín Michalovce or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Medzev clean sheet | 0% |
| Zemplín Michalovce clean sheet | 93% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zemplín Michalovce is the model's most likely outcome at
99%. Despite playing away, Zemplín Michalovce edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 6.4, this shapes as an open game (78% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Medzev vs Zemplín Michalovce — FAQ
Who will win Medzev vs Zemplín Michalovce?
Our statistical model makes Zemplín Michalovce the most likely result at 99%. Full probabilities: Medzev 0%, draw 1%, Zemplín Michalovce 99%.
Will both teams score in Medzev vs Zemplín Michalovce?
The model gives a 24% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Medzev vs Zemplín Michalovce?
Expected goals are 0.07 for Medzev and 6.37 for Zemplín Michalovce — about 6.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Medzev vs Zemplín Michalovce?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-6 (18%). Double chance for Medzev or draw is 0%.