Memmingen vs 1860 München Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Memmingen vs 1860 München
Model pick: Memmingen (79%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.04 – 0.65
Total goals: 3.7
Over 2.5: 63%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Memmingen | 1860 München |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
*Memmingen shown at home, 1860 München shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Memmingen — last 5
LWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
1860 München — last 5
LWWDD
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Memmingen (home) | 1860 München (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 56% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.36
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.04 vs 0.65):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Memmingen or draw (1X) | 95% |
| Double chance — 1860 München or draw (X2) | 16% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 50% / 50% |
| Memmingen clean sheet | 52% |
| 1860 München clean sheet | 5% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Memmingen is the model's most likely outcome at
79%. Memmingen are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.7, this shapes as an open game (63% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Memmingen vs 1860 München — FAQ
Who will win Memmingen vs 1860 München?
Our statistical model makes Memmingen the most likely result at 79%. Full probabilities: Memmingen 79%, draw 14%, 1860 München 7%.
Will both teams score in Memmingen vs 1860 München?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Memmingen vs 1860 München?
Expected goals are 3.04 for Memmingen and 0.65 for 1860 München — about 3.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Memmingen vs 1860 München?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (12%). Double chance for Memmingen or draw is 95%.