Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Dinamo Batumi Prediction & Preview
Umaglesi Liga (Georgia) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
UMAGLESI LIGA (GEORGIA)
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Dinamo Batumi
Model pick: Dinamo Batumi (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.01 – 1.72
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Meshakhte Tkibuli | Dinamo Batumi |
|---|
| League position | #10 (11 pts) | #5 (28 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 1.9 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 20% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
*Meshakhte Tkibuli shown at home, Dinamo Batumi shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Meshakhte Tkibuli — last 5
DLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Dinamo Batumi — last 5
LLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 36% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Meshakhte Tkibuli (home) | Dinamo Batumi (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-5-5 in 10 (0.5 / 1.9 goals per game) | 2-4-4 in 10 (1.2 / 1.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
Umaglesi Liga (Georgia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 49%
Use these Umaglesi Liga (Georgia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.01 vs 1.72):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Meshakhte Tkibuli or draw (1X) | 46% |
| Double chance — Dinamo Batumi or draw (X2) | 78% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli clean sheet | 18% |
| Dinamo Batumi clean sheet | 36% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dinamo Batumi is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Despite playing away, Dinamo Batumi edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Dinamo Batumi — FAQ
Who will win Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Dinamo Batumi?
Our statistical model makes Dinamo Batumi the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Meshakhte Tkibuli 24%, draw 25%, Dinamo Batumi 51%.
Will both teams score in Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Dinamo Batumi?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Dinamo Batumi?
Expected goals are 1.01 for Meshakhte Tkibuli and 1.72 for Dinamo Batumi — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Dinamo Batumi?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Meshakhte Tkibuli or draw is 46%.