Meuselwitz vs Weissenfels Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Meuselwitz vs Weissenfels
Model pick: Draw (80%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.07 – 0.1
Total goals: 0.2
Over 2.5: 2%
Both teams score: 9%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Meuselwitz | Weissenfels |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 2.0 / 0.0 |
*Meuselwitz shown at home, Weissenfels shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Meuselwitz — last 5
LWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Weissenfels — last 5
WW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Meuselwitz (home) | Weissenfels (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.07 vs 0.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (84%) |
| Double chance — Meuselwitz or draw (1X) | 91% |
| Double chance — Weissenfels or draw (X2) | 94% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 15% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Meuselwitz clean sheet | 90% |
| Weissenfels clean sheet | 93% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
80%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (98% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Meuselwitz vs Weissenfels — FAQ
Who will win Meuselwitz vs Weissenfels?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 80%. Full probabilities: Meuselwitz 8%, draw 80%, Weissenfels 12%.
Will both teams score in Meuselwitz vs Weissenfels?
The model gives a 9% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Meuselwitz vs Weissenfels?
Expected goals are 0.07 for Meuselwitz and 0.1 for Weissenfels — about 0.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Meuselwitz vs Weissenfels?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (84%). Double chance for Meuselwitz or draw is 91%.