Midtjylland vs Bohemians Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) · Aug 13, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Midtjylland vs Bohemians
Model pick: Midtjylland (81%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.65 – 0.07
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Midtjylland | Bohemians |
|---|
| League position | #2 (6 pts) | #3 (44 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 62% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
*Midtjylland shown at home, Bohemians shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Midtjylland — last 5
LWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 64% of home games go over 2.5.
Bohemians — last 5
DWDDL
On the road: clean sheet 31% of the time; 37% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Midtjylland (home) | Bohemians (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 8-2-3 in 13 (1.8 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 37% |
Europa Conference League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.65 vs 0.07):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (23%) |
| Double chance — Midtjylland or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Bohemians or draw (X2) | 8% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Midtjylland clean sheet | 93% |
| Bohemians clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Midtjylland is the model's most likely outcome at
81%. Midtjylland are backed at home, where they average 2.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Midtjylland vs Bohemians — FAQ
Who will win Midtjylland vs Bohemians?
Our statistical model makes Midtjylland the most likely result at 81%. Full probabilities: Midtjylland 81%, draw 14%, Bohemians 5%.
Will both teams score in Midtjylland vs Bohemians?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Midtjylland vs Bohemians?
Expected goals are 2.65 for Midtjylland and 0.07 for Bohemians — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Midtjylland vs Bohemians?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (23%). Double chance for Midtjylland or draw is 99%.