Midtjylland vs Randers Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
Midtjylland vs Randers
Model pick: Midtjylland (63%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.15 – 0.93
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Midtjylland | Randers |
|---|
| League position | #3 (7 pts) | #8 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
*Midtjylland shown at home, Randers shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Midtjylland — last 5
LWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 65% of home games go over 2.5.
Randers — last 5
DDLWL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Midtjylland (home) | Randers (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 56% |
| Top scorer | – | Elies Mahmoud (5) |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.15 vs 0.93):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Midtjylland or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — Randers or draw (X2) | 35% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Midtjylland clean sheet | 39% |
| Randers clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Midtjylland is the model's most likely outcome at
63%. Midtjylland are backed at home, where they average 2.1 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Midtjylland vs Randers — FAQ
Who will win Midtjylland vs Randers?
Our statistical model makes Midtjylland the most likely result at 63%. Full probabilities: Midtjylland 63%, draw 21%, Randers 16%.
Will both teams score in Midtjylland vs Randers?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Midtjylland vs Randers?
Expected goals are 2.15 for Midtjylland and 0.93 for Randers — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Midtjylland vs Randers?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (11%). Double chance for Midtjylland or draw is 85%.