Milevsko vs Horovice Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Milevsko vs Horovice
Model pick: Horovice (83%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.61 – 3.34
Total goals: 3.9
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Milevsko | Horovice |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.75 / 1.5 | 1.25 / 1.75 |
*Milevsko shown at home, Horovice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Milevsko — last 5
LLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Horovice — last 5
LDWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Milevsko (home) | Horovice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.65
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 71%
BTTS: 65%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.61 vs 3.34):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-3 (12%) |
| Double chance — Milevsko or draw (1X) | 12% |
| Double chance — Horovice or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Milevsko clean sheet | 4% |
| Horovice clean sheet | 54% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Horovice is the model's most likely outcome at
83%. Despite playing away, Horovice edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.9, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Milevsko vs Horovice — FAQ
Who will win Milevsko vs Horovice?
Our statistical model makes Horovice the most likely result at 83%. Full probabilities: Milevsko 6%, draw 11%, Horovice 83%.
Will both teams score in Milevsko vs Horovice?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Milevsko vs Horovice?
Expected goals are 0.61 for Milevsko and 3.34 for Horovice — about 3.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Milevsko vs Horovice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-3 (12%). Double chance for Milevsko or draw is 12%.