Mirassol vs Remo Prediction & Preview
BrazilA · Jul 29, 2026 · kickoff 22:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
BRAZILA
Mirassol vs Remo
Model pick: Mirassol (84%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.49 – 0.17
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 32%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Mirassol | Remo |
|---|
| League position | #18 (19 pts) | #19 (18 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 2.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 40% | 20% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
*Mirassol shown at home, Remo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Mirassol — last 5
WLWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 53% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Remo — last 5
DDLWL
On the road: clean sheet 8% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Mirassol (home) | Remo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-3-3 in 10 (1.3 / 1.2 goals per game) | 2-2-6 in 10 (1.0 / 2.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 53% | 8% |
| Both teams scored | 41% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 49% |
BrazilA — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.38
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 48%
Use these BrazilA averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.49 vs 0.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (22%) |
| Double chance — Mirassol or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Remo or draw (X2) | 12% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 90% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Mirassol clean sheet | 84% |
| Remo clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Mirassol is the model's most likely outcome at
84%. Mirassol are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Mirassol vs Remo — FAQ
Who will win Mirassol vs Remo?
Our statistical model makes Mirassol the most likely result at 84%. Full probabilities: Mirassol 84%, draw 14%, Remo 3%.
Will both teams score in Mirassol vs Remo?
The model gives a 32% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Mirassol vs Remo?
Expected goals are 2.49 for Mirassol and 0.17 for Remo — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Mirassol vs Remo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (22%). Double chance for Mirassol or draw is 98%.