Mladá Boleslav vs Slovácko Prediction & Preview
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Mladá Boleslav vs Slovácko
Model pick: Mladá Boleslav (49%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.61 – 1.06
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Mladá Boleslav | Slovácko |
| League position | #3 (8 pts) | #15 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 0.0 | 0.5 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.0 | 0.8 / 2.4 |
*Mladá Boleslav shown at home, Slovácko shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Mladá Boleslav — last 5
WWDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Slovácko — last 5
LLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 53% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Mladá Boleslav (home) | Slovácko (away) |
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.5 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 53% |
| Top scorer | – | Patrik Blahut (4) |
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.67
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.61 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Mladá Boleslav or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Slovácko or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Mladá Boleslav clean sheet | 35% |
| Slovácko clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Mladá Boleslav is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Mladá Boleslav are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Mladá Boleslav vs Slovácko — FAQ
Who will win Mladá Boleslav vs Slovácko?
Our statistical model makes Mladá Boleslav the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Mladá Boleslav 49%, draw 27%, Slovácko 24%.
Will both teams score in Mladá Boleslav vs Slovácko?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Mladá Boleslav vs Slovácko?
Expected goals are 1.61 for Mladá Boleslav and 1.06 for Slovácko — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Mladá Boleslav vs Slovácko?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Mladá Boleslav or draw is 75%.