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Mladá Boleslav vs Slovácko Prediction & Preview

Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Mladá Boleslav vs Slovácko
Model pick: Mladá Boleslav (49%) Goals: Over 2.5 BTTS: Yes

📊 Match Prediction

Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):

49%
Mladá Boleslav
27%
Draw
24%
Slovácko
Expected goals: 1.611.06 Total goals: 2.7 Over 2.5: 51% Both teams score: 56%

⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats

Mladá BoleslavSlovácko
League position#3 (8 pts)#15 (1 pts)
Goals scored / conceded per game*2.0 / 0.00.5 / 3.0
Win rate this season*100%0%
Last 5 goals for / against2.6 / 1.00.8 / 2.4
*Mladá Boleslav shown at home, Slovácko shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.

🔥 Recent Form

Mladá Boleslav — last 5

WWDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.

Slovácko — last 5

LLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 53% of away games go over 2.5.

📈 Key Stats & Trends

TrendMladá Boleslav (home)Slovácko (away)
This season record1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game)0-0-2 in 2 (0.5 / 3.0 goals per game)
Clean sheet rate33%22%
Both teams scored51%50%
Over 2.5 goals54%53%
Top scorerPatrik Blahut (4)

Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season

Avg goals / game: 2.67 Home wins: 45% Draws: 25% Away wins: 30% Over 2.5: 51% BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.

🎲 More Prediction Markets

Derived from the model's expected goals (1.61 vs 1.06):

MarketModel probability
Most likely scoreline1-1 (12%)
Double chance — Mladá Boleslav or draw (1X)75%
Double chance — Slovácko or draw (X2)50%
Double chance — either team (12)75%
Over / Under 1.5 goals75% / 25%
Over / Under 3.5 goals28% / 72%
Mladá Boleslav clean sheet35%
Slovácko clean sheet20%

🎯 Our Verdict

Mladá Boleslav is the model's most likely outcome at 49%. Mladá Boleslav are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5). The lean on goals is Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com

🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers

Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.

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❓ Mladá Boleslav vs Slovácko — FAQ

Who will win Mladá Boleslav vs Slovácko?

Our statistical model makes Mladá Boleslav the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Mladá Boleslav 49%, draw 27%, Slovácko 24%.

Will both teams score in Mladá Boleslav vs Slovácko?

The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.

How many goals in Mladá Boleslav vs Slovácko?

Expected goals are 1.61 for Mladá Boleslav and 1.06 for Slovácko — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.

What is the most likely score in Mladá Boleslav vs Slovácko?

The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Mladá Boleslav or draw is 75%.