Mlada Boleslav B vs Zapy Prediction & Preview
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 3 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Mlada Boleslav B vs Zapy
Model pick: Draw (60%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.06 – 0.42
Total goals: 0.5
Over 2.5: 8%
Both teams score: 15%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Mlada Boleslav B | Zapy |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.4 / 0.8 | 2.8 / 0.8 |
*Mlada Boleslav B shown at home, Zapy shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Mlada Boleslav B — last 5
DWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Zapy — last 5
DWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 40% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Mlada Boleslav B (home) | Zapy (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 60% |
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.06
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.06 vs 0.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (62%) |
| Double chance — Mlada Boleslav B or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Zapy or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 37% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 8% / 92% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Mlada Boleslav B clean sheet | 66% |
| Zapy clean sheet | 94% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (92% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Mlada Boleslav B vs Zapy — FAQ
Who will win Mlada Boleslav B vs Zapy?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Mlada Boleslav B 6%, draw 60%, Zapy 34%.
Will both teams score in Mlada Boleslav B vs Zapy?
The model gives a 15% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Mlada Boleslav B vs Zapy?
Expected goals are 0.06 for Mlada Boleslav B and 0.42 for Zapy — about 0.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Mlada Boleslav B vs Zapy?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (62%). Double chance for Mlada Boleslav B or draw is 67%.