Mladost Lučani vs Partizan Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Mladost Lučani vs Partizan
Model pick: Partizan (53%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.91 – 1.71
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Mladost Lučani | Partizan |
|---|
| League position | #5 (7 pts) | #10 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 2.5 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.8 | 2.0 / 0.8 |
*Mladost Lučani shown at home, Partizan shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Mladost Lučani — last 5
WDDDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Partizan — last 5
WWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 42% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Mladost Lučani (home) | Partizan (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-2-0 in 2 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-1-0 in 2 (2.5 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 57% |
| Top scorer | Petar Bojic (4) | – |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.91 vs 1.71):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Mladost Lučani or draw (1X) | 44% |
| Double chance — Partizan or draw (X2) | 80% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Mladost Lučani clean sheet | 18% |
| Partizan clean sheet | 40% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Partizan is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Despite playing away, Partizan edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Mladost Lučani vs Partizan — FAQ
Who will win Mladost Lučani vs Partizan?
Our statistical model makes Partizan the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Mladost Lučani 22%, draw 25%, Partizan 53%.
Will both teams score in Mladost Lučani vs Partizan?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Mladost Lučani vs Partizan?
Expected goals are 0.91 for Mladost Lučani and 1.71 for Partizan — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Mladost Lučani vs Partizan?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (12%). Double chance for Mladost Lučani or draw is 44%.