Mladost Lučani vs Radnički Niš Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Mladost Lučani vs Radnički Niš
Model pick: Mladost Lučani (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.16 – 1.03
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Mladost Lučani | Radnički Niš |
|---|
| League position | #4 (10 pts) | #12 (5 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.7 / 1.0 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
*Mladost Lučani shown at home, Radnički Niš shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Mladost Lučani — last 5
DDDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Radnički Niš — last 5
LWDLD
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 46% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Mladost Lučani (home) | Radnički Niš (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-2-0 in 3 (1.7 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-1-2 in 4 (0.5 / 0.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 46% |
| Top scorer | Petar Bojic (4) | Aleksandr Shestyuk (5) |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.16 vs 1.03):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Mladost Lučani or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Radnički Niš or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Mladost Lučani clean sheet | 36% |
| Radnički Niš clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Mladost Lučani is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Mladost Lučani are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Mladost Lučani vs Radnički Niš — FAQ
Who will win Mladost Lučani vs Radnički Niš?
Our statistical model makes Mladost Lučani the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Mladost Lučani 38%, draw 30%, Radnički Niš 32%.
Will both teams score in Mladost Lučani vs Radnički Niš?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Mladost Lučani vs Radnički Niš?
Expected goals are 1.16 for Mladost Lučani and 1.03 for Radnički Niš — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Mladost Lučani vs Radnički Niš?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Mladost Lučani or draw is 68%.